Japan-South Korea Relationship Got Caught in Domestic Politics, Says CFR’s Snyder



what are the prospects of resolving or very at least de-escalating this historical long-running disagreement between Japan and South Korea right now I think the political leaders on both sides are ignoring the caution flags as related to the problems in the economic relationship and they still see a lot of political benefit domestically on both sides to continuing down this road you know this is really the first time that the economic component of the relationship which has normally been the glue supporting political cooperation between South Korea and Japan has become a solvent and that should be a great concern I think it really has political and strategic ramifications for both sides as well as for the United States yeah that's a nice analogy a solvent some so in terms of what looks like to be a war of attrition right now economically which sides going to suffer the most Japan or South Korea well I think that the South Koreans have immediate concerns about supply and I don't know whether Samsung and other semiconductor producers are going to find a satisfactory solution you know downstream it means that any component in any products that use South Korean semiconductor components are going to see potential problems and the South Koreans I think have been threatening consequences they're hoping that Japan will find that this backfires on them but I think the concern is that they haven't yet reached the limit where that they will drive both leaders back to talking to each other as a way of bounding this problem and Scott we know that Japan South Korea relations really moving waves were a tension spike for a period of time but this distrust has been building for quite a while right how much has this to do with prime minister Abbas relationship with the former president of South Korea well I think you've put your finger one of the critical origins of this and that is that moon the south korean current president walked away from the comfort woman agreement that was made between prime minister abe a and his predecessor park geun-hye but of course her agreement was really discredited in south korea by her subsequent impeachment and as a result the relationship with japan has got caught in south korean domestic politics in new and unprecedented ways i was going to ask because president moon jane when he took office he said that he wouldn't let historical issues get in the way of progress on special relations so what happened here well that's right the moon administration began with the dual-track policy placing history in one track and future relations in the other but i don't think that the moon administration has handled their really non rejection rejection of the come form agreement very well and there's the issue of forced labor that emerged in the south korean supreme court that has really added to the complexity and actually deepened the domestic component of the issue as a problem between South Korea and Japan in a practical sense South Korea well needs a number of resources for its technology industry if it's not able to talk to Japan does this open the door to other suppliers potentially driving South Korea into the arms of China economically I think that the semiconductor manufacturers are looking at China they're looking at Russia they're looking at whatever other alternatives are available but one of the problems is that there's no trusted supplier outside of Japan that's one reason why Japan has had a virtual monopoly on supply of some of these chemicals and elements that are necessary for semiconductor manufacturing in South Korea would be in the US interest to inject itself into the try and broker some sort of agreement between while two of its closest allies in East Asia yes the United States has an interest in facilitating and inbounding this conflict between South Korea and Japan it does not have an interest in putting itself in between two allies and I think that the Trump administration has been a little bit late to the game in terms of addressing this downturn as we have seen it evolve but now we have an assistant secretary who is out there Sara Lee Stilwell who has had conversations with the Japanese and the South Koreans I understand that a National Security Council senior official is also out there but really the key for the ice States is to figure out how to whisper into the ear of each side rather than placing itself in the middle but will they do that especially with this administration I think that they will try and we'll have to wait and see whether or not they find the correct formula for bounding this or not they're there late to the game and they really I think have suffered from a kind of vacuum at senior levels in the State Department prior to assistant surgery Stilwell's confirmation and so the question is whether they can catch up and he can get support and find a method by which to bound the rising tensions between the two sides and kind of stabilize the environment for a positive South korea-japan relationship




Comments
  1. 駄目だ。ワッセナー・協定違反と1965年の日韓請求権協定違反をごっちゃにしている、英文ニュースのキャスターもそうだし、このニュース番組に出てくる「日韓問題の専門家」やらウォッチャー・研究者もそう。韓国大統領も分かっていない。事情が的確に分からなくては、対策の立てようもない。なぜ、自己主張をほんのちょっとだけ止めて、日本の怒りがどこにあるのか、理解しようとしないのか。日韓は間違いなく衝突コースを驀進しているぞ。こんなナマクラな連中を呼んできて、しゃべらせている場合か。これで韓国がホワイト国リストから外れたら、韓国経済はズタボロになる。まあ、自業自得だから、しょーもないが。

  2. It seems news media people cannot make distinction between two types of breach; one is the breach of 1965 Japan-ROK Agreement and the other is the breach of
    Wassenaar Arrangement. Tightening export controls comes from S. Korea’s breach of Wassenaar Arrangement and it has nothing to do with the breach of 1965 Japan-ROK Agreement.

  3. If Korea dislikes Japan, please do not continue diplomacy.
    80% of Japanese want to abolish diplomatic relations with Korea

  4. Result of S.Korean spy acitivities
    NASA: Permanent ban
    Soyuz: Permanent ban
    Apple: Permanent ban
    Deutschland: try copy tank engine/submarine
    U.S.N: open blackbox
    Japan: remove from whitelist
    and more…

  5. Japan has repeatedly warned Korea of ​​illegal exports, but Korea has denied it. Korea's Ministry of Industry and Resources admitted that there were 156 illegal exports by March this year, but only the number was listed in the "regional export of strategic products" announced by Korea. Japan obtained a detailed list and repeatedly warned Korea. In March this year, "diisopropylamine", which could be diverted to chemical weapons material, was illegally exported to Pakistan. Sodium fluoride, a raw material of sarin, was illegally exported to Iran. "Biosafety cabinets" that may be diverted to the production of biological weapons are illegally exported to Syria. The deadly gas source "sodium cyanide" is illegally exported to Equatorial Guinea.There are many other unknowns on this list, but Korea has not revealed them. It is also unclear if the illegally exported dangerous material has been recovered. Member countries are strongly criticizing Korea's illegal distribution. Korea continues to deny that it does not violate international law now. Japan is ranked 3rd in the World Economic Ranking. Korea ranks 13th in the world economy. I understand that the world is a country where Japan can be trusted

  6. This decision of Japan became a big advantage of the Korean industry.
    Government and private companies have decided to invest heavily in materials, materials and basic science, especially major Korean companies have started investing in SMEs,
    The Korean government is urging to promote regulation and localization.
    Thank you, Abe, thank you, Japan.
    You guys help the Korean industry

  7. Scot Snyder is completely ignorant of the depth of the issues. Japan's tightening export controls on three materials has nothing to do with history, nor comscript labor. What will yu do if those matereials are sold to the black market, or exported to North Korea/Iran for production of chemical weapons such as VH gas or Salin gas? You should not meddle in  the serious matter with such half-baked knowedge.

  8. After Moon Jae-in took the office of presidency in 2016, S. Korean companies placed the order of incredibly large quantities of three materials, at least three times larger than the mean quantity of the previous ten years. Did the semiconductor production of S. Korea increase to three-fold? No!  Japan questioned again and again about for what S. Koreans used the inventory, but S. Korea did not respond to our questions for
    three years. Possibly, they might have sold the inventory to black market, or to N. Korea/Iran for production of chemical gas weapon such as VH gas or Salin. Japan continued to demand explanation and the set deadline was Osaka G20. As  Moon Jae-in or S. Korea envoy did not give us reasonable response, Japan decided to remove S. Korea from the list of trusted buyers (so-called White List). Announcement of tight export controls coincided with the media highlight of conscripted labor issues but they are completely separate matters.

  9. Korean:You killed my parents cruelly!! Why you are not Apologize to them!! We hate you!! Monsters!!
    Japan: What? You hate me? Then we hate you too. No reason.

  10. WW2 was such a long time ago. I guess phrases like "live and let live" and "let bygones by bygones" are not popular with some cultures

  11. 불매 합시다 진짜로. 누가 그랬음. 우리나라 사람들은 취업에 노벨상 필요하다 하면 다들 노벨상 탈거라고. 그만큼 진취적이고 능력이 뛰어난 사람들이 많음. 일본이 규제를 아무리 해도 우리는 살아남을거임. 언제나 그래왔기 때문임. 하지만 일본은 다름. 늘 치사했고 늘 못됐었음. 뒤에서 노략질이나 해댔음. 이제 그만 원래 자리 갈 때 됐음. 바닥으로. 우리는 우리대로 하면 됨.

  12. Japan has decided to change export incentives for hydrogen fluoride to the same level as the standard country for Korea..
    Hydrogen fluoride is the resouce of nuclear bomb , VX gas, Sarin gas and mustard gas.
    Since the inauguration of President Moon, the export volume of hydrogen fluoride has increased by three times.
    In addition, it was found that the hydrogen fluoride was extremely likely to be diverted from South Korea to North Korea.
    This is the main reason for this treatment, not a economic matter.

  13. 영국이코노미스 있는 토착왜구들이 비판하는척 하면서 아베가 트럼프가 좋아서 따라한다고 하잖아 일본놈들 사람들을 죽이다가도 저것들 보다 강하다 싶어면 귀여운 아기흉내 내면서 상대를 방심하게 해서 칼꼽는 것들 이잖아 미국한데 전쟁 걸어 페배한후에도 왜놈천황이 미군들에게 B52 폭격기 너무ㅇ이뻐요 하면서 미군들 앞에서 노래를 부르며 재롱떨었다고 하잖아 지금은 미국 대통령들 앞에서 몇십년간 재롱떨고 있지만 언제가 미국놈들도 일본놈들에게 칼꼽힐거야

  14. Abe has no backbone. Can't make up his mind as to why he is placing export restrictions. First he kept on saying Korea broke the promise: "ya-so-ku!  ya-so-ku!."  Now they are for security reasons. There is no base for this, no evidence. On the other hand there are UN findings (this is actually shocking but the link is provided below) that indicate Japan exported to North Korea radars used in military vessels, drone parts, missile launcher parts, and potentially parts necessary to make nuclear weapons. Abe, go suck an egg from Fukushima!  UN report: https://www.msn.com/en-ph/video/news/japan-has-exported-restricted-items-to-n-korea-in-recent-years-un-reports/vp-AAEk3Zz

  15. The US should had bombed Tokyo and Osaka instead of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
    One day, Japan will start a war again and will be nuked again. This time, let it be Tokyo and Osaka. That will teach them a lesson they didn't learn last time.

  16. This might backfire on Japan in the long run..I wish Koreans would start making these semi conductors themselves one day it might take time but they can make it..If this happens it will be a game changer…

  17. Hey Koreans. If you think your in the right and Japan is wrong bring in a 3rd party and let them look the aggrement which you signed, and the huge amount of money you received.

  18. Failure of the Republic of Korea to comply with obligations regarding arbitration under the Agreement on the Settlement of Problems concerning Property and Claims and on Economic Co-operation between Japan and the Republic of Korea 
    (Statement by Foreign Minister Taro Kono)

    1. Japan and the Republic of Korea have built a close, friendly and cooperative relationship based on the Treaty on Basic Relations between Japan and the Republic of Korea and other relevant agreements that the two countries concluded when they normalized their relationship in 1965. The Agreement on the Settlement of Problems concerning Property and Claims and on Economic Co-operation between Japan and the Republic of Korea (the “Agreement”), which is the core of these agreements, stipulates that Japan shall supply to the Republic of Korea 300 million USD in grants and extend loans up to 200 million USD (Article I), and that problems concerning property, rights and interests of the two Contracting Parties and their nationals (including juridical persons), as well as concerning claims between the Contracting Parties and their nationals, are “settled completely and finally,” and no contention shall be made thereof (Article II). As such, the Agreement has provided the basis for the bilateral relationship up until now.

    2. In spite of the above, a series of judgments of the Supreme Court of the Republic of Korea last year ordered respondent Japanese companies, inter alia, to pay compensation to the plaintiffs. These decisions are extremely regrettable and totally unacceptable. The decisions clearly violate Article II of the Agreement and inflict unjustifiable damage and costs on the said Japanese companies. Above all, the decisions completely overthrow the legal foundation of the friendly and cooperative relationship that Japan and the Republic of Korea have developed since the normalization of diplomatic relations in 1965.

    3. Japan has long placed an emphasis on the rule of law in the international community. Consistent with its strong belief in the importance for States, irrespective of domestic circumstances, to abide by their commitments under international law, the Government of Japan, on 9 January 2019, requested diplomatic consultations with the Government of the Republic of Korea under the Agreement. This was the initial step to settle the issue of breaches of international law by the Republic of Korea due to the judgments of the Supreme Court of the Republic of Korea rendered last year, as well as related judgments and proceedings.

    4. However, the Government of the Republic of Korea failed to respond to the request for diplomatic consultations, taking no action as the Korean claimants took steps to attach assets of the respondent Japanese companies in satisfaction of the judgments of the Korean Supreme Court. Given that failure by the Government of the Republic of Korea, the Government of Japan transmitted a Notification and Statement of Claim to the Republic of Korea on 20 May 2019 (“Notification”). By this Notification, the Government of Japan invoked the arbitration clause in the Agreement, referring the dispute to arbitration in accordance with Article III.2 of the Agreement; and Japan has proceeded with the arbitration process up to the present. The Government of the Republic of Korea, however, did not follow the procedures set forth in Article III of the Agreement and failed to comply with its obligation not only to appoint an arbitrator, but also to choose a third country, the government of which is to appoint an arbitrator for the Contracting Party, within the period provided for in the Agreement.

    5. Japan deeply regrets that, as a consequence, an arbitration board under the Agreement referred to on 20 May could not be constituted.

    6. The repeated failures of the Republic of Korea to take the steps toward the constitution of the arbitration board, which is the agreed dispute settlement procedure provided under the Agreement, constitute further breaches of the Agreement, in addition to the breaches already caused by the series of judgments of the Supreme Court of the Republic of Korea last year, as well as related judgments and proceedings.

    7. Given the severe situation surrounding the Japan-Republic of Korea relationship caused by the Republic of Korea side, including the aforementioned, the Government of Japan will be taking necessary measures against the Republic of Korea.

    8. The settlement of this dispute requires the Republic of Korea to remedy its accumulated breaches of international law. Japan renews its request for the Republic of Korea to take concrete actions for that purpose immediately.

    (Reference) Agreement on the Settlement of Problem Concerning Property and Claim and on the Economic Co-operation between Japan and the Republic of Korea (excerpt)

    Article II

    1 The Contracting Parties confirm that problem concerning property, rights, and interests of the two Contracting Parties and their nationals (including juridical persons) and concerning claims between the Contracting Parties and their nationals, including those provided for in Article IV, paragraph (a) of the Treaty of Peace with Japan signed at the city of San Francisco on September 8, 1951, is settled completely and finally.

    . . .

    3 Subject to the provisions of paragraph 2 above, no contention shall be made with respect to the measures on property, rights and interests of either Contracting Party and its nationals which are within the jurisdiction of the other Contracting Party on the date of the signing of the present Agreement, or with respect to any claims of either Contracting Party and its nationals against the other Contracting Party and its nationals arising from the causes which occurred on or before the said date.

    Article III

    1 Any dispute between the Contracting Parties concerning the interpretation and implementation of the present Agreement shall be settled, first of all, through diplomatic channels.

    2 Any dispute which fails to be settled under the provision of paragraph 1 shall be referred for decision to an arbitration board composed of three arbitrators, one to be appointed by the Government of each Contracting Party within a period of thirty days from the date of receipt by the Government of either Contracting Party from the Government of the other of a note requesting arbitration of the dispute, and the third arbitrator to be agreed upon by the two arbitrators so chosen within a further period of thirty days or the third arbitrator to be appointed by the government of a third country agreed upon within such further period by the two arbitrators, provided that the third arbitrator shall not be a national of either Contracting Party.

    3 If, within the periods respectively referred to, the Government of either Contracting Party fails to appoint an arbitrator, or the third arbitrator or a third country is not agreed upon, the arbitration board shall be composed of the two arbitrators to be designated by each of the governments of the two countries respectively chosen by the Governments of the Contracting Parties within a period of thirty days and the third arbitrator to be designated by the government of a third country to be determined upon consultation between the governments so chosen.

    4 The Governments of the Contracting Parties shall abide by any award made by the arbitration board under the provisions of the present Article.

  19. Minister of Foreign Affairs of Japan To Korean Ambassador to Japan "Don't let go of international law violations"

  20. Abe jumped the economic track first mimicking Trump's merchantilist tactics against China. What Trump and the militarists have been whispering into Japan's ears is "yes go ahead, amend your constitution to allow offensive armaments, we need that to offset China's growing threat." Abe's actions are geared toward the elections this weekend, inciting old style Japanese chauvinism so it can amend the constitution and rearm without any limits.

  21. Shinzo Abe's bloc must be defeated in the upper house elections resulting that Japan and Korea would sign a detente to end their trade row.

  22. Did Japan attack the Pear Harbor again?
    Uh, this time to South Korea..oh my Japan has
    a horrible habit of attacking another country from behind.

    Abe is a copy cat of Trump, but much less smarter and much more insane.

    Japan has a huge advatage than SK by trading deal, not like America losing money to China.

    Is Abe know how to do
    Nath?

  23. The South Korea made agreement on the issue of the labor issues according to its own calculation in 1965 and revoked it knowing that 2008 court ruling advised South Korea Government be responsible for compensations for individuals.
    South Korea also revoked an agreed scheme on comfort women unilaterally twice and has continued to support the propaganda to degrade Japan.
    South Korean thieves stole Buddhism statues and documents from Japanese temples and the court ruling affirmed not to return them to Japan asserting that they were stolen by Japanese pirates 1000 years ago without any single proof.
    I believe it is useless to make any agreement with the South Korea. Their sentiment against the ex-ruler is the linchpin to unite the nations and will never be changed. Any agreement will be revoked when ex-president is arrested and a new president is inaugurated.
    I wonder when Moon will be arrested and follow the destiny of other Korean presidents.

  24. The United States even confirmed that South Korea is doing well in North Korea 's sanctions. Rather, the United Nations has warned that Japan is exporting goods to North Korea.

  25. CRIMES AGAINST HUMANITY COMMITTED BY JAPAN AND STILL DENIED BY JAPAN:

    Unit 731
    The Bataan Death March
    Nanking massacre
    Death by Railway
    200,000 women and teenager sex slavery system
    The Bangka Island Massacre
    The Sandakan Death March
    The Massacre of Enemy Airmen
    The Laha Airfield Massacre
    The Alexandra Hospital Massacre
    The Palawan Massacre
    The Nauru Island Occupation
    Operation Sook Ching
    The Pig Basket Massacre
    Port Blair Massacres
    The Andaman Islands Massacre
    The Invasion of Hong Kong

    Should I continue?…

  26. Prime Minister Abe has maintained his dictatorship for a long time, and Japanese newspapers have become less reliable. In the recent one Japanese scream "Abe stop" and he was arrested. It is a complete dictatorship. The people are deceived by the government and their eyes and ears are closed. They are Abe's slaves. I hope many Japanese people will understand the truth and resist it. Democracy is it

  27. The Japan old people used to be against the war.

    assholes who say they're post-war generation why you like war?

    At least the people of the former Japanese Empire were familiar with the battle, but generation of Japanese who became keyboard warriers insist the war

    Do you know how to shoot? Do you know the real battle?

    The current generation in South Korea has seen North Korea's provocations in military units. They are the generation who indirectly realized the war.They were actually preparing for the war, and they know it's not a joke.

    Young Japanese, this is not an animation. Don't brag. War is no joke.
    Consider why the elders who occupied Asia are now criticizing the war. Patriotism? Honor? Your family won't come back.

    Your arms and legs don't come back either.

    If you want to live alone with the flag in your arms, keep insisting.

  28. By this action of Japan 💪&✌nation
    1. Korean company still can import those strategic material, if they really really can proof that those will be used for only producing semiconductor….😉
    2. Korean government will not be able to send those material to Iran and NK for producing WMD any more…👊

    Japan is saving the world 👏👏👏👍😁

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