2008 United States Presidential Election Part 3 (MSNBC+FOX)


HERE ON FOX WITH BRIT HUME BROADCASTING TONIGHT FROM NEW YORK. I’LL SEE YOU AGAIN IN ABOUT 30 MINUTES. HERE’S BRIT. [CAPTIONING MADE POSSIBLE BY FOX NEWS CHANNEL] BRIT: WE’LL HAVE ANALYSIS FROM KARL ROVE AND MICHAEL BARRONE AND OF COURSE, AS ALWAYS, OUR EXTENDED ALL-STAR PANEL, RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW. WELCOME TO FOX NEWS ELECTION HEADQUARTERS IN NEW YORK. I’M BRIT HUME. IT HAS BEEN ALMOST 21 MONTHS SINCE BARACK OBAMA DECLARED HIS CANDIDACY FOR PRESIDENT, AND IT HAS BEEN 54 YEARS SINCE JOHN MCCAIN BEGAN HIS SERVICE TO HIS COUNTRY. TODAY, ONE OF THOSE JOURNEYS WILL LEAD TO THE ULTIMATE AMERICAN POLITICAL PRIZE. THE RECORD TURNOUT HAS BEEN FORECAST TO END THE LONGEST CAMPAIGN SEASON IN U.S. HISTORY. MANY PEOPLE WHO VOTED PARTICIPATED IN EXIT POLLS AN MEGYN KELLY IS HERE WITH A LOOK AT WHAT WE HAVE LEARNED SO FAR.>>THERE IS GOOD NEWS FOR BOTH SIDES BUT HOPEFUL SIGNS FOR BARACK OBAMA, BUT FIRST, THOUGH, A CAVEAT. THE POLLS ARE STILL OPEN. IT IS STILL EARLY. OBAMA TENDS TO POLL BETTER THAN HE PERFORMS, AND SOME OF THE EARLY VOTING MAY BE UNDERREPRESENTED. ALL THOSE CAVEATS IN MIND, TAKE THESE NUMBERS WITH A GRAIN OF SALT. WHAT IS ON THE MINDS OF THE VOTERS? I HAVE MY TRUSTY LAUNCHPAD TO SHOW YOU. CHECK OUT THIS TECHNOLOGY, BRIT. MOST TS ECONOMY IS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FACING THE COUNTRY, SIDING WITH BARACK OBAMA, 56% TO MCCAIN’S 42%. IN FACT, A WHOPPING 82% SAY THEY’RE WORRIED ABOUT THE IMPACT OF THE ECONOMIC CRIES I ON THEIR FAMILIES. 42% SAY THEIR FAMILY’S FINANCES ARE WORSE THAN FOUR YEARS AGO. 76% SAY THE COUNTRY IS ON THE WRONG TRACK ALL TOGETHER. LOOK AT THE CHANGE VOTERS. THIS IS BARACK OBAMA’S WORDS ALL ALONG, 91% TO MCCAIN’S 8. THE DEMOGRAPHICS. YOUNG AND NEW VOTERS BOTH KEY TO OBAMA’S STRATEGY AND ARE THREE SHOWING UP? YOUNG VOTERS ARE, 62% COMING OUT, VOTING FOR BARACK OBAMA, 28% COMING OUT AND VOTING FOR JOHN MCCAIN. IT LOOKS LIKE THE YOUNG VOTERS MAKING UP ROUGHLY THE SAME PERCENTAGE OF ELECTORATE AS THEY DID IN THE PAST COUPLE OF ELECTIONS BUT AGAIN, THAT MAY BE UNDERREPRESENTED GIVEN THE CAVEAT I GAVE YOU EARLIER. TAKE A LOOK AT NEW VOTERS ON THE NATIONAL LEVEL. THEY ARE SIDING WITH BARACK OBAMA SO FAR. 72%, TO JOHN MCCAIN’S 27%. SIX IN TEN NEW VOTERS ARE UNDER THE AGE OF 30. 20% OF NEW VOTERS SO FAR ARE AFRICAN-AMERICAN. NOW, THOSE ARE THE NATIONAL NUMBERS. LET’S TAKE A CLOSER LOOK AT THE NUMBERS IN VIRGINIA. THERE, TOO, THE VOTERS ARE SHOWING UP. WILL THEY HELP BARACK OBAMA TURN A RED STATE BLUE? NEW VOTERS IN VIRGINIA, 63%, GOING FOR BARACK OBAMA, 36%, FOR JOHN MCCAIN. NOW, IN INDIANA, AN EARLY POLL CLOSING TONIGHT. THEY HAVE NOT VOTED FOR A DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE IN FOUR DECADES. IN IF OBAMA WANTS TO CHANGE THAT, HE NEEDS THE INDEPENDENTS. SO FAR, HE IS DOING WELL. HE IS GETTING 56. JOHN MCCAIN 41. FOUR YEARS AGO THE INDEPENDENTS IN INDIANA SIDED WITH GEORGE BUSH. TO OHIO. YOU CAN SEE THE STATE BACK IN THE PRIMARIES WENT FOR HILLARY CLINTON. ARE HER SUPPORTERS BACKING BARACK OBAMA? IT APPEARS SO. 82% OF THEM VOTING FOR HIM, 16% FOR JOHN MCCAIN BUT WE DON’T KNOW HOW MANY OF HER SUPPORTERS DECIDED TO STAY HOME. MCCAIN IS CAPTURING VOTERS LOOKING FOR EXPERIENCE IN THEIR PRESIDENT. 93% OF THOSE VOTERS PICKED H, JUST 7% PICKED BARACK OBAMA. GOT TO STRESS, THESE POLLS MAY BE SLIGHTLY OFF GIVEN THE CAVEATS THAT WE’VE MENTIONED EARLIER. KEEP AN OPEN MIND AND STAY TUNED AS WE GET MORE DATA IN. BRIT: YES, WE ALL LIVED THROUGH FOUR YEARS AGO WHEN WE THOUGHT WE HAD PRESIDENT KERRY AT THIS VERY HOUR SITTING IN THIS VERY PLACE. WE KNOW HOW THAT TURNED OUT. WE HAVE FOX TEAM COVERAGE MEANWHILE OF THE CANDIDATES ON ELECTION DAY. CARL CAMERON IS WITH THE CAMPAIGN IN PHOENIX AND MAJOR GARRETT IN CHICAGO WHERE OBAMA PLANS A HUGE CELEBRATION IN GRANT PARK. HI, MAJOR.>>GOOD EVENING, BRIT. WE DON’T KNOW IF A MILLION PEOPLE WILL SHOW UP AS MAYOR DALEY HAS PREDICTED. WE DO KNOW AT 3:00 EASTERN, THE LINES STARTED FORMING AND PEOPLE WON’T BE LET IN UNTIL 9:30 EASTERN TIME. BEHIND THE SCENES AT THE OBAMA CAMPAIGN, THIS IS WHAT I CAN TELL YOU. FOR EXAMPLE, THIS MORNING IN NEW HAMPSHIRE, THEY DETECTED TURNOUT AS SOFTER THAN THEY EXPECTED. THEY GOT VOLUNTEERS ON THE PHONES, AND BOOSTED THE TURNOUT IN NEW HAMPSHIRE IN THE CLOSING HOURS AMONG THE COLLEGE KIDS THERE. IN THE STATE OF MISSOURI, THE OBAMA CAMPAIGN BELIEVES THAT 80% OF ARE REGISTERED VOTERS COULD SHOW UP. THEY HAVE MOBILIZED THEIR VOLUNTEERS IN THE SATE TYES OF ST. LOUIS AND KANSAS CITY, EVEN ASKING OBAMA VOLUNTEERS TO USE A SPECIAL COMPUTER SOFTWARE THAT TURNS THEIR HOME INTO A MINI PHONE BANK CALLING INTO MISSOURI. ONE LAST POINT, NORTH CAROLINA, AFRICAN-AMERICAN TURNOUT IN KEY PRECINCTS, A BIT SOFT THIS MORNING, BOTH THE OBAMA CAMPAIGN MOBILIZING VOLUNTEERS TO BOOST THAT IN THE CLOSING HOURS IN NORTH CAROLINA. ALL THREE STATES ARE VERY IMPORTANT TO THE OBAMA ELECTORAL MAP. FOR HIMSELF, BARACK OBAMA WORRIED ABOUT HIS PERSONAL VOTE AND THAT OF HIS HE GET OUT THE VOTE EFFORTS IN INDIANA.>>AT HIS HYDE PARK NEIGHBORHOOD, HIS DAUGHTER AT HIS SIDE, GOT SHARE A HUG AS THE NATION DECIDED IN FULL WHETHER IT WOULD EMBRACE OBAMA’S BRAND OF CHANGE. BEFORE BOARDING HIS CAMPAIGN PLANE FOR ONE LAST STOP IN INDIANA, OBAMA DESCRIBED HIS MOOD.>>I FEEL GREAT. I WAS HAVING FUN WITH MY DAUGHTERS.>>OBAMA TRAILS BY AS MANY AS FIVE POINTS IN THE HOOSIER STATE.>>I THINK WE CAN WIN HERE.>>OBAMA COVETS INDIANA AS HIS ABILITY TO WIN IN THE REDDEST OF BUSH STATES. THAT’S WHY HE MADE GET OUT THE VOTE VOTES PERSONAL.>>ARE YOU VOTING FOR ME? I JUST WANTED TO GET ON THE PHONE QUICK AND SAY THANK YOU. ALL RIGHT. TELL ALL YOUR FRIENDS WHO ASK YOU WHO YOU ARE VOTING FOR.>>OBAMA MET AN ESTIMATED 90,000 SUPPORTERS IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA V.A. THE TURNOUT THERE COULD GIVE OWE BALM MAT OLD DOMINION AND PAVE HIS WAY TO THE WHITE HOUSE.>>SOMETIMES WHEN I’M DOWN, YOU HAVE LIFTED ME UP. YOU FILL ME WITH NEW HOPE FOR OUR FUTURE AND YOU HAVE REMINDED ME ABOUT WHAT MAKES AMERICA SO SPECIAL.>>BEFORE LEAVING THE STAGE, OBAMA ASKED THE QUESTION AT THE HEART OF HIS QUEST FOR CHANGE AND VITAL TO HIS ELECTION DAY OF GET OUT THE VOTE EFFORTS.>>ARE YOU FIRED UP? ARE YOU READY TO GO? FIRED UP? READY TO GO? FIRED UP? READY TO GO? FIRED UP, READY TO GO?>>OBAMA HAS BEEN FIRED UP AS HAVE HIS VOLUNTEERS FOR MONTHS TONIGHT. TONIGHT IN A FEW HOURS WE WILL FIND OUT IF THE COUNTRY IS, TOO. BRIT: THANK YOU VERY MUCH. NOW LET’S GO TO OUR CHIEF POLITICAL CORRESPONDENT CARL CAMERON WITH THE MCCAIN CAMPAIGN IN PHOENIX. HOW DO THINKS LOOK OUT THERE.>>WELL, THEY’RE A BIT ANXIOUS HERE, BRIT. NOT DOWNBEAT, PER SE BUT THE TRUTH OF THE MATTER IS THERE ARE NO POLITICAL ILLUSIONS ABOUT HOW STIFF THE HEAD WINDS ARE LEER WITH THE MCCAIN CAMPAIGN. SENATOR MCCAIN HIMSELF HAS LONG SAID THIS WOULD BE A LONG NIGHT IN WHAT FOR HIM HAS BEEN A VERY LONG BATTLE. AFTER 26 HOURS OF NON-STOP PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN, THE G.O.P. CANDIDATE CAST A BALLOT FOR HIMSELF. STRAIGHT TALK AIR WENT STRAIGHT BACK TO THE SOUTH WITH APPEARANCES IN NEW MEXICO AND COLORADO.>>I FEEL THE MOMENTUM. I FEEL IT! YOU FEEL IT! WE’RE GOING TO WIN THIS ELECTION! WE’RE GOING TO WIN IT! AND WE’RE GOING TO — AND WE’RE GOING TO WIN IT RIGHT HERE IN THE STATE OF COLORADO.>>FROM THE MOMENT SARAH PALIN JOINED THE TICKET AT THE END OF AUGUST THROUGH THE G.O.P. CONVENTION AND INTO MID SEPTEMBER, JOHN MCCAIN SURGED AND GAINED THE LEAD IN NATIONAL POLLS AN ON THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE MAP. THEN CAME THE FINANCIAL CRISIS. OBAMA RECAPTURED THE LEAD, BUT AT THE LAST THREE WEEKS, TWO THINGS HAPPENED –>>JOE THE PLUMBER. JOE!>>JOE THE PLUMBER WURZELBACHER BECAME THE PERSONIFICATION OF MCCAIN’S ATTACK ON OBAMA’S ECONOMIC PLAN CALLING IT SOCIALISM AND JOE BIDEN SUGGESTED IF OBAMA IS ELECTED, U.S. ADVERSARIES WILL TEST HIS METTLE.>>I HAVE BEEN TESTED AND I HAVE PASSED THE TEST!>>DOUBTS ABOUT OBAMA’S TAX AND SPENDING PLANS AND EXPERIENCE, ALONG WITH ENTHUSIASM OVER RUNNING MATE SARAH PALIN, AIDES SAY, HELPED MCCAIN CLOSE THE GAP IN THE LAST TWO WEEKS. THE FINAL TEST, WHETHER THE GOP’S WINNING 72-HOUR FINAL GROUND PUSH OF YEARS PASSED CAN BEST OBAMA THIS TIME.>>IT’S GREAT OF YOU TO TURN OUT TODAY. WE’VE GOT TO TURN OUT OUR VOTE. WE’RE GOING TO BE UP LATE TONIGHT. SOME OF THE PUNDITS HAVE WRITTEN US OFF, BUT I WANT TO TELL YOU THAT THEY MAY NOT KNOW IT, BUT THE MAC IS BACK!>>A LOT OF OPTIMISM HERE, BRIT AND YET BEHIND THE SCENES SOME TENSION, AND GIVEN THE TOUGH ECONOMIC CLIMATE, THE PRESIDENT’S UNPOPULARITY, AND E R AFTER SENATOR JOHN MCCAIN’S NAME, HIS AIDES SAY IF HE PULLS IT OFF TONIGHT, IT WILL BE THE BIGGEST POLITICAL COMEBACK.>>WE HAVE LOTS TO WAIT FOR TONIGHT, CARL, THANK YOU VERY MUCH. THE FIRST WOMAN ON THE REPUBLICAN TICKET, ALASKA GOVERNOR SARAH PALIN CAST HER BALLOT IN WASILLA A DAY AFTER THE STATE PERSONNEL BOARD CLEARED HER OF ETHICS CHARGED. DAN SPRINGER IS LIVE FROM ANCHORAGE WITH THAT STORY. HI, DAN.>>YEAH, BRIT, GOVERNOR PALIN WAS ON THE GROUND IN HER HOME STATE OF ALASKA FOR LESS THAN FIVE HOURS, JUST LONG ENOUGH TO GET INTO COMFORTABLE CLOTHES AND WARM CLOTHES, BY THE WAY, AND CAST THAT HISTORIC VOTE, AS YOU MENTIONED, THE FIRST REPUBLICAN WOMAN TO EVER APPEAR ON A PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT. SHE SHOWED UP AT THE POLLING PLACE THIS MORNING WEARING BLUE JEANS AND A CASUAL BROWN JACKET WITH HER NAME ON THE FRONT. SHE APPEARED RELAXED AND ENERGIZED AS SHE GREETED PEOPLE AT THE POLLING PLACE WITH HUGS. ONE WOMAN GOT A KISS ON THE CHEEK. LATER AT A COFFEE SHOP, SHE SHOUTED TO AN OLD FRIEND, TELL YOUR HUBBY I SAID HI. SHE WAS MOVED TO BE BACK INNER HOMETOWN OF WASILLA IN THE COUNCIL CHAMBERS WHERE HER CAREER BEGAN CASTING A VOTE FOR THE AGES.>>THIS IS AN HISTORICAL EVENT NO MATTER WHICH TICKET PREVAILS. IT BODES SO WELL FOR THE PROGRESS THAT OUR GREAT COUNTRY IS MAKING, AND BARRIERS, OF COURSE, BEING REMOVED, AN GLASS CEILINGS BEING SHATTERED.>>GOVERNOR PALIN HAD ANOTHER BIG REASON TO SMILE. LATE YESTERDAY, A SENATE AN INVESTIGATION INTO SO-CALLED TROOPER-GATE CLEARED HER OF WRONGDOING. IT WAS CON CAN CLUED THAT SHE DID NOT ABUSE HER POWER. THE PERSONNEL BOARD HAS THE FINAL SAY ON WHETHER A SITTING GOVERNOR VIOLATED ETHICS LAW AND ITS INDEPENDENT INVESTIGATOR FOUND SHE HAD NOT DONE ANYTHING WRONG. AFTER HER BRIEF STOP HERE IN ALASKA, SHE HAS BOARDED A PLANE. SHE IS IN THE AIR HEADING BACK TO PHOENIX TO BE IN PHOENIX WITH HER RUNNING MATE JOHN MCCAIN FOR THE RETURN TONIGHT. SHE SAYS AS FAR AS WHETHER SHE IS CONFIDENT OR NOT, SHE SAID I HOPE, PRAY AND BELIEVE I WILL BE VN IN THE MORNING. BRIT: JOE BIDEN VOTED A FEW HOURS EARLIER IN WILMINGTON, DELAWARE, ACCOMPANIED BY HIS WIFE, DAUGHTER AND MOTHER. BIDEN TOLD REPORTERS HE HE WAS FEELING GOOD BUT NOT READY TO MAKE ANY ACCEPTANCE SPEECHES JUST YET.>>IT IS SO PRESUMPTIOUS OF A CANDIDATE TO EVEN LET YOURSELF THINK THAT YOU KNOW WHAT THE VOTERS ARE GOING TO DO I KNOW THAT SOUNDS STUPID, BUT I REALLY MEAN IT. BRIT: LATER IN OUR PROGRAM, THE BALANCE OF POWER IN CONGRESS. WE WILL GET A PREVIEW OF WHAT TO EXPECT TONIGHT. UP NEXT, CHRIS WALLACE AND KARL ROVE DISCUSS WHAT THE CAMPAIGNS WILL BE LOOKING AT THIS EVENING. . TO WHAT EXTENT DOES ANXIETY TRUMP THE SENSE OF OPTIMISM? THIS SENSE OF THIS AS A RESET MOMENT IN THE COUNTRY FOR LEADERSHIP?>>IF YOU WANT TO LOOK, AND GENE HAD MENTIONED EARLIER, THE GRASPING OF THE 21st CENTURY. IF YOU REALLY WANT TO TRY TO PUT THIS IN AN HISTORICAL POSSIBILITY. I THINK JOE SCARBOROUGH’S POINT IS WELL TAKEN HOOFL KNOWS WHAT OPTIMISM WILL LOOK LIKE FOUR YEARS FROM NOW NO MATTER WHAT THE OUTCOME TONIGHT. WILL HE SAY THAT THIS IS THE KIND OF TRANSITIONAL THING THAT MANY PEOPLE DO EXPECT IT TO BE. AND PLACES IT IN HISTORY ALONGSIDE 1932. MAYBE 1904. CERTAINLY 1864 AND 1860. THOSE VOTES. THERE WILL BE SOME VOTERS COMING OF AGE THIS YEAR FOR THE FIRST TIME. THEY WERE BORN IN 1990. THEY WILL BE ABLE TO BE INTERVIEWED BY OUR SUCCESSORS OR MAYBE SOME OF US WHO WILL HANG AROUND LONG ENOUGH. RACHEL IS THE ONLY ONE WHO HAS A SHOT AT IT. SOMEBODY WILL BE INTERVIEWING THESE OLD TIMERS IN THE YEAR 2100 ABOUT THE DAY THEY VOTED FOR OBAMA IN 2008. IT IS ABSOLUTELY, BY THE ACT WEARIAL TABLES ALMOST INSISTED UPON THAT SOMEBODY VOTING FOR THE FIRST TIME WILL BE ABLE TO COUNT THIS STORY IN THE 22nd KRXT THAT’S BACKWARDS AND FORWARDS HISTORY.>>I THINK PEOPLE KNOW THAT’S COMING. THEY HOPE, THEY SEE A REASONABLE EXPECTATION THAT SOMETHING OF THAT IMPORTANCE IS COMING.>>I HAVE ONE IN MY HOUSE HOED. 18 YEARS OLD. I WON’T SAY WHO HE VOTED FOR BUT HE SENT ME A TEXT MESSAGE.>>ISN’T IT INTERESTING. WE’RE TALKING A LOT ABOUT THE AFRICAN-AMERICAN VOTES. THE PROSPECT FOR HISTORY IF OBAMA WERE TO WIN TONIGHT. ISN’T IT INTERESTING, GENE, THAT FOR AN OLDER GENERAL VAGUE OF AMERICANS, THEY WILL LOOK THROUGH THE HISTORICAL PRISM OF THEIR LIVES. AND YET FOR A LOT OF YOUNGER PEOPLE, ARE NOT SEEING OBAMA IN A RACIAL CONTEXT AT ALL. RATHER, THEY ARE SEEING HIM IN A WAY AS SOMEBODY WHO SPEAKS FOR THEM IN A WAY THAT A LEADER HAS NOT IN THE COURSE OF THEIR LIVES.>>THAT’S TRUE. AND FOR YOUNGER GENERATIONS, RACE, IT IS NOT THAT IT IS ENTIRELY DEVOID OF MEANING. IT JUST HAS A VERY DIFFFFERENT MEANING THAN WHAT IT HAS FOR OUR GENERATION. IT IS NOT AS — SOME THINGS ARE NOT AS BIG A DEAL. OTHER THINGS ARE A REALLY BIG DEAL. A LOT OF THEM DO SEE HIM AS, I SUSPECT, THIS COOL GUY WHO SPEAKS VERY WELL AND ENGAGES THEM IN THE POSSIBILITIES OF THE FUTURE. AND THAT’S REALLY WHAT THEY WANT TO HEAR. THEY HEAR SO MUCH THAT IS DEPRESSING ABOUT WHAT IS HAPPENING IN THIS COUNTRY AND HOW THEIR LIVES ARE NOT GOING TO BE AS GOOD AS OUR LIVES, THE MATERIAL THINGS, AND THEY WANT TO KNOW THERE IS SOMETHING BIGGER OUT THERE THEY CAN BE WORKING TOWARD. I THINK THIS CALL THAT OBAMA HAS MADE, AND McCAIN MADE, TOO. WORKING TOWARD SOMETHING BIGGER THAN YOURSELF. AND FOR A BETTER COUNTRY. I THINK IT FINDS REAL RESONANCE AMONG THESE PEOPLE. WE’LL CHECK BACK WITH OUR INSIDERS. PLUS, NORAH O’DONNELL WITH SOME BREAKING NEWS ON THE NORTH CAROLINA SENATE RACE AND ELIZABETH DOLE TONIGHT. ONE OF THE RACES WE’LL FOLLOW VERY CLOSELY AS WE AWAIT THE FIRST RESULTS POLLS IN SIX STATES CLOSING AT THE TOP OF THE HOUR.>>>WE’RE GOING TO BRING OUR INSIDERS IN. LONG TIME STRATEGIST MIKE MURPHY AND FORMER DEMOCRATIC CONGRESSMAN HAROLD FORD FROM TENNESSEE. LET’S LOOK AT THE BASICS. WE’RE STILL A WAYS OFF FROM BEING ABLE TO REPORT SOME HARD NUMBERS YET, LET ALONE RESULTS. MIKE, INSIDE THE McCAIN CAMP TONIGHT, THEY’RE LOOKING AT A NARROW PATH TO VICTORY IF THEY ACHIEVE VICTORY. WHAT ARE YOU FOCUSED ON TONIGHT?>>I’M SORRY, DAVID. I HAD SOMETHING IN MY EAR THAT WAS BLOC OUT YOUR QUESTION. INSIDE THE McCAIN HEADQUARTERS?>>INSIDE THE McCAIN CAMPAIGN, THEY’RE LOOKING AT A NARROW VICTORY MAP IF IT IS A VICTORY MAP AT ALL. WHAT ARE YOU FOCUSED ON?>>I’M LOOKING AT THE RED AND THE BLUE STUFF WHICH WILL BE THE DECISION. I’M LOOKING AT VIRGINIA. VIRGINIA GOES RED TO BLUE, THAT’S UNFORTUNATELY A BIG PROBLEM FOR JOHN McCAIN. IT MEANS HE HAS TO DRAW TO A PERFECT INSIDE STRAIGHT ON THE RED STATES, ALMOST ALL OF THEM AND GET LUCKY ON A BLUE STATE SOMEWHERE. WHAT I’M GOING TO BE DOING AN HOUR FROM NOW, LOOKING AT VIRGINIA. WE HAVE THIS EXIT POLLING. LOOK AT EARLY PRECINCTS IN FLORIDA AND OHIO. OHIO CLOSING, I BELIEVE, AT 7:30. PART OF FLORIDA CLOSING EARLY. THOSE BELLWETHER PRECINCTS TO SEE WHAT’S GOING ON THERE. IF EITHER OF THOSE BLUE STATES, NORTH CAROLINA, AND VIRGINIA GO BADLY FOR McCAIN, IT WILL BE A LOCK NIGHT. VIRGINIA AND ONE OTHER STATE WILL BE THE FIRST NATION OF STRENGTH OR WEAKNESS.>>AND HAROLD, IN AN IMPORTANT STATE LIKE PENNSYLVANIA WHICH McCAIN HAS MADE IT A PLAY FOR HERE AS HIS OFFENSIVE STRATEGY, YOU CAN LOOK AT PHILADELPHIA AND YOU CAN LOOK AT THOSE SUBURBS WHERE GEORGE BUSH, A LOSS IN 2004 BY NEARLY 500,000 VOTES. WE’LL GET AN INDICATION, IF HE CAN’T GET INTO THAT NUMBER SIGNIFICANTLY, HOW HE FARES IN PENNSYLVANIA.>>NOT ONLY THE URBAN AREAS BUT WHAT KIND OF MARGINS ARE THERE FOR McCAIN IF ANY AT ALL. I THINK MIKE’S POINT ABOUT THE FLORIDA, VIRGINIA, KEY COUNTIES THERE WILL BE VERY TELLING. I THINK THE OTHER STATE THAT IT IS A LOT OF US ARE LOOKING AT AROUND HERE, INDIANA. THAT WILL BE A BELLWETHER TO GET A SENSE OF HOW THE REST OF THE MIDWEST MAY FOLD. I CONCUR WITH THE OTHER INSIDER.>>INDIANA WILL GO FOR McCAIN. THERE ARE A FEW COUNTIES THE MARGINS ARE A GOOD DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATOR. SOUTH BEND, SOME OF THE DEMOCRATIC AREAS WILL PERFORM. WILL WHITE DEMOCRATS COME IN FOR THEM? THEN SOME OF THE RURAL COUNTIES, BARACK OBAMA OVERPERFORM. THERE HE MAY NOT WIN INDIANA BUT IT IS AN INDIANA THAT HE IS GETTING SOME VOTES TONIGHT.>>ONE OF THE STRATEGIC DECISIONS BY THE McCAIN CAMPAIGN WAS TO KEEP YOU OUT OF THE CAMPAIGN. HAD YOU GOTTEN IN THE CAMPAIGN, I AM CONFIDENT THAT THEY WOULD HAVE HAD A MORE WELL — WHAT’S THE WORD? DEBONAIR APPROACH TO THE CAMPAIGN. A MORE UPBEAT APPROACH. DO YOU SENTENCE LACK OF MURPHY’S CHARM IN THIS CAMPAIGN HAS BEEN A MAJOR DEFICIENCY?>>NO. NOT AT ALL. I THINK IT IS KIND OVERRATED. I’VE BEEN HONKING ON ALL YEAR ABOUT A KINDER, GENTLER McCAIN CAMPAIGN. THE LAST TIME WE TRIED THAT WHEN I WAS THERE, WE LOST. I DO BELIEVE THIS. I BELIEVE HE HAD TO HAVE A STRATEGY THAT ATTRACTED TICKET SPLITTERS. OR ELSE IN THIS YEAR, IT WAS A LOSING STRATEGY. A BASE STRATEGY CAN’T WORK THIS YEAR. AND THAT’S WHY I THINK A LOT OF THE THINGS, AS MUCH AS I LOVE JOHN AND I THOUGHT HE WAS A TIGER ALL YEAR LONG, HE STUMPED FOR HIM. STRATEGICALLY, I’M NOT SURE HE HAD A STRATEGY IN THE CAMPAIGN BUT WE’LL SEE WHAT HAPPENED.>>THE BASE THING WORKED ONCE, THE LEADER OF THE BASE, GEORGE BUSH’S NUMBER WERE SO LOW. AND TWO, BARACK BROUGHT SO MANY NEW VOTERS TO THE POLL. IF POINTS THAT HAVE BEEN MADE, THE NEW VOTER-THE ADDITIONAL NEW VOTERS IN SO MANY KEY RED STATES. AND THEN AT THE END OF THE NIGHT, AS WE LOOK AT THIS DATA, AT THE END OF THE NIGHT, THAT WILL BE ONE OF THE MOST TELLING PIECES OR DATA POINTS IN THIS ENTIRE RACE.>>LET’S TALK ABOUT YOUR PARTY. I ONLY HAVE A MINUTE HERE. I HAVE TO ASK YOU, THE DOG THAT HASN’T BARKED. I ALWAYS LIKE TO THINK ABOUT THE THINGS THAT DON’T HAPPEN THAT YOU THINK THAT WILL HAPPEN. IT SEEMS TO ME THE CLOSING DAYS OF THE CAMPAIGN, WITHOUT EVEN LOOKING AT ANY NUMBER TONIGHT WHICH YOU DON’T REALLY HAVE YET. HILLARY CLINTON’S ROLE IN THE GENERAL ELECTION STARTING WITH HER RATHER DRAMATIC DEPARTURE FROM THE CAMPAIGN AT THE NATIONAL BUILDING MUSEUM WHERE SHE HAD THE FULL HOUSE THAT SATURDAY. AND REALLY HAD A DRAUK CLOSE TO HER CAMPAIGN. A BIT LATE, I WOULD ARGUE BUT SHE DID IT SO WELL. THEN GIVING THAT REALLY POSITIVE SPEECH IN DENVER, ALONG WITH HER FORMER PRESIDENT CLINTON’S SPEECH. I HAVE A SENSE THAT SHE SHUT DOWN THE PUMA MOVEMENT PRETTY WELL. THE PEOPLE WHO WERE REAL DEMOCRATS WHO SUPPORTED HER SUPPORTED HER IN MOVING OVER TO BACK OBAMA. WHAT IS YOUR SENSE?>>I WOULD AGREE WITH YOU. EVEN IF YOU ASKED THE OBAMA CAMPAIGN, I THINK YOU WILL GET PRETTY MUCH WIDESPREAD AGREEMENT OR CONSENSUS THAT SHE WENT OUT OF HER WAY TO BE HELPFUL TO THIS CAMPAIGN AND CAME THROUGH ON THE THINGS SHE PROMISED. HER AND HER HUSBAND IN MANY WAYS. YOU HAVE TO THINK SHE NEP PENNSYLVANIA, FLORIDA. DON’T GET NEVER WRONG. THE PLANS WERE PHENOMENAL IN THOSE PLACES BUT I CONTEND LATE RACE BETWEEN OBAMA AND CLINTON AIDED OBAMA. REMEMBER, McCAIN’S RACE ENDED SOME TIME IN FEBRUARY. FEBRUARY, MARCH. IT WAS CLEAR HE WOULD BE THE NOMINEE. AND HE WAS UNABLE TO DO THE THINGS HE NEEDED TO DO TO ORGANIZE AND TO FORTIFY HIS BASE AND SUPPORT THESE KEY STATES.>>I QUICKLY ADD THIS. I THINK HILLARY WAS A TROOPER AND MADE A DIFFERENCE. OBAMA DOAN THIS HIMSELF. HE’LL TO GO WASHINGTON IF HE WINDS OWING NOBODY.>>THAT’S A GREAT QUESTION. I WANT TO KNOW. BECAUSE I WANT TOPPING ABOUT STREET MONEY. ED RENDELL, ALL KINDS OF DECISIONS. I WANT TO KNOW WHAT WE KNOW BY MIDNIGHT, IF HE IS THE WINNER, BARACK OBAMA TONIGHT. I WOULD LIKE TO KNOW IF THERE WERE DEALS.>>IS THERE ANY PARTICULAR REASON YOU’RE INTERESTED IN PENNSYLVANIA?>>I AM FASCINATED BY THAT AS AN OBJECT LESSON IN MODERN POLITICS. LET ME TELL YOU, I DO THINK BARACK OBAMA, I’M NOT SAYING HE IS CLEANER THAN OTHER POLITICIANS OR OTHER DEMOCRATS, BUT HE IS DIFFERENT. HE IS DIFFERENT. HE DOESN’T LIKE HAVING HIS HOONDS STREET MONEY. HE DOESN’T LIKE MAKING CABINET DEALS. HE DOESN’T LIKE THE OLD POLITICS. HE DOESN’T WORK WITH DID COMMITTEE CHAIRS, THE COUNTY CHAIRS. I’M NOT SAYING IT IS BETTER. IT MAY OFFEND ME IN MANY WAYS. BUT IT IS DIFFERENT. WE OUGHT TO TAKE ACCOUNT OF THAT. HE ISN’T THAT CLEAN. HE DIDN’T TAKE THE FEDERAL MONEY. LET’S BE CLEAR ABOUT THAT.>>HE DIDN’T CHANGE HIS MIND ON THAT.>>DON’T BELIEVE EVERYTHING THEY TELL YOU.>>WE HAVE TO GET TO A BREAK HERE. WE’LL HAVE GOVERNOR RENDELL THE NEXT HALF-HOUR. WE’LL CHECK IN WITH OUR CORRESPONDENTS NEXT COVERING THE McCAIN AND OBAMA CAMPAIGN. PLUS THE GOVERNOR TO KEEP OUT, GOVERNOR ED RENDELL.




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  1. No, I had planed to start posting more videos but my laptops both died in August of last year. Good news for you though, I am about to get a new gaming computer with Windows 10 installed, hopefully it has a good video editor, and I can post all my videos footage and post stuff from this years election.

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